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New Caledonia continues to be challenging

New Caledonia, often called the "Sudbury of the south Pacific" because of its enoromous nickel reserves, is a French-controlled island in the south-west Pacific Ocean about 1,200 kilometres east of Australia.

New Caledonia, often called the "Sudbury of the south Pacific" because of its enoromous nickel reserves, is a French-controlled island in the south-west Pacific Ocean about 1,200 kilometres east of Australia. The massive CVRD Inco owned Goro nickel project, located at the southern end of the New Jersery-sized island is expected to produce 60,000 tons of nickel per year when completed.


If Stompin Tom Connors had included New Caledonia in his travels, he might have written a song called the "Nickel Laterite Blues." The first line in the song might have been, "Goro, Goro, oh, oh, oh how my pocket book aches when I hear that word."


Earlier this year, the largest construction project in the south Pacific had been shut down for a few weeks by vandalism commited by a small group of indigenous Kanak protesters, the Rheebu Nuu.


Last week, CVRD Inco announced that the Goro project had been delayed until late 2008 and that costs were expected to increase by $850 million (US) to $3 billion.


A few days earlier a French court ordered the company to stop building part of the nickel project due to environmental issues. The construction of a waste storage site was to stop immediately or face a daily fine of $40,000.


The problems at Goro and a general strike on the island by the militant New Caledonian Confederation of Union Workers that has almost completely shut down nickel production at Societe Le Nickel (SLN), a subsiduary of French miner Eramet has caused the three-month price of nickel to hit a record high of $33,755 per tonne or $15.31 per pound Monday.


Exploding Chinese demand combined with very few new projects coming on stream have created global shortages causing the price of nickel to surge about 150 percent since the start of the year.


Just a quick geology-101 lessen on nickel laterites for the novices. Nickel laterites are, generally speaking, divided into two types, limonite and saprolite. The saprolite nickel laterites are processed using pyro (fire) technology. Inco's very successful Indonesian facilities and Xstrata Nickel's operations in the Dominican Republic use this type of process.


Goro, on the other hand, is a limonite deposite that will use a chemical method called high-pressure acid leaching (HPAL) for processing. New Caledonia has both limonite and saprolite nickel deposits. There is a large smelter in the capital Nouméa that is owned by Eramet that processes saprolite ore from a number of mines using pyro technology.


In addtion, Xstrata Nickel and its partner SMSP announced last week that the Koniambo Project in New Caledonia's north province will continue.


The project was under review by the new owners. The enormous Koniambo orebody contains both saprolite and limonite ore. Initially, the saprolite ore will be mined and processed using the same technology used in the company's Dominican Republic operations. Production is targeted to begin in 2009/2010 and is expected to be about 60,000 tonnes of nickel per year.


The never ending troubles with Goro's nickel laterites are by no means confined just to CVRD Inco.


The two other major nickel laterite projects (limonite-HPAL) in the world - BHP-Billiton's Ravensthorp in Australia and CVRD Inco's Vermelho in Brazil - are dealing with cost blow-outs and/or environmental delays and/or labour shortages.


About 72 percent of the world's nickel resources are found in laterite deposits, mainly in tropical locations like Indonesia, Cuba, Brazil and New Caledonia.


The only way these projects will be built and make money is if the price of nickel stays at a much higher level than at the beginning of this century.

In the mid-1990s, when supposedly low-cost nickel laterite projects were first coming on stream in Western Australia, there was enormous fear in the Sudbury Basin that the local mines could not compete. The past decade has confirmed that the Sudbury miners will remain among the most competitive and innovative in the world. In addition, the political stability of this region will ensure continued mining investments over the next few decades.


Sixteenth century Saxon miners in present day Germany used to think nickel ores were cursed and called the mineral "kupernickel or the "Devil's copper" as they could not separate the valuable red metal from the then worthless nickel. They may have been right, at least in the pocket book.

Stan Sudol is a Toronto-based communications consultant and policy analyst who writes extensively on mining issues.  [email protected]


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