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Sad ending yet Sudbury's heading for bright future

"We are satisfied that the CVRD offer of $86 (CDN) per share represents compelling value for our shareholders," Inco chair and CEO Scott Hand said in a news release two days ago on Sept. 25. Inco Ltd.

"We are satisfied that the CVRD offer of $86 (CDN) per share represents compelling value for our shareholders," Inco chair and CEO Scott Hand said in a news release two days ago on Sept. 25.

Inco Ltd.'s board of director's recommendation that all shareholders tender their shares to the Brazilian iron ore mining giant probably brings to an end a year-long bidding war for the iconic nickel miner.


Because CVRD has yet to obtain clearances from the European Commission and Investment Canada, they have extended their Sept. 28 deadline offer until Oct. 16.


Most people in this city, including me, can't help but feel a little sad that Inco could not have stayed Canadian. It is the end of an era that defined both this community and the Canadian mining industry.


However, being controlled by the fourth-largest mining company in the world brings many positive benefits to the Sudbury Basin. The primary one is access to capital that can fast foreword the new generation of mines desperately needed by a nickel-hungry global market.


Brazil is one of four, so called BRIC countries-the others are Russia, India and China-that will have an enormous impact on the coming transformation of the global economy. This historic transformation due to the urbanization and industrialization of the BRIC countries and other emerging smaller markets will profoundly affect Ontario's manufacturing might with low-cost competitive pressures.


Conversely, Northern Ontario's mining industry, especially the Sudbury Basin's vast nickel deposits, mining supply and services sector and mining education expertise, stand to benefit.


Sudbury's future has never looked so promising. We have the resources and specialized mining skills to prosper in the new global economy of the 21st century and our impact and importance to the Ontario and Canadian economies will continue to grow.


Regardless of the media hype that the commodity super-cycle is over, due to an impending American recession and ensuing slower economic growth around the world, nickel is one of the few metals that will continue to shine.


Last week, the World Bureau of Metal Statistics stated that the global nickel market experienced a 51,000-metric ton deficit from January to July of this year.


"Inventories throughout the supply chain are at the lowest levels we have ever seen," said Inco executive vice-president marketing, Peter Goudie in a recent news release. "Our customers are looking for more nickel, and we are doing all we can to supply them, but it is difficult to meet all demands. As we have suggested would happen, the nickel market is now in a place where the industry has never been before."


BHP Billiton is the world's largest mining company. In the company's recent annual report, CEO Chip Goodyear comments on the enormous changes in China due to the internal migration of hundreds of millions of people to urban areas that need huge infrastructure and resources.


He said, "We believe the world may be witnessing just the beginning of a whole new period of change and BHP Billiton is an essential element of that change. All the raw materials that we produce and sell are essential elements of these infrastructure requirements."


Change is always stressful. The Sudbury Basin has witnessed an enormous amount of negative change over the past thirty years. Take heart, for the next 30 years the change will be for the better.

Stan Sudol is a Toronto-based communications consultant and policy analyst who writes extensively on mining issues. He can be reached at[email protected].


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